ah thanks. i might have known that had i seen anyone play the Board ever lol. still waiting to see that card in action.
I played a very long game against a deck that ran almost nothing but 1-pointers and The Board. I think I had 10 agendas stolen at the end of the game, with 3 points to show for it. I forget why now, but for some reason I either wasnāt comfortable or couldnāt trash The Board (which was in a big server anyway - maybe a breaker got wrecked and I couldnāt recur it). He eventually decked digging for his last Hostile Takeover (he had 6 points), and when he drew his last card and didnāt see it, he realized I had stolen 2 and he had scored 1, and there was no way to safely score any other agenda.
Original calculations pre Global Food. Script.
3xTFP 4x2 1xGF ā 25.3 accesses mean
1xTFP 4x2 3xGF ā 23.2 accesses mean
Iād like to do some calculation with Film Critic too, since I feel that if Film Critic is everywhere you prefer Global Food to TFP but Iām not sure how prevalent it has to be. For the following I assumed that TFP has 90% chance to get stolen, because the runner can hold multiaccess events until they have Film Critic out. Itās easy to change the percent though.
In Film Critic world:
3xTFP 4x2 1xGF ā 19.1 accesses mean
1xTFP 4x2 3xGF ā 20.8 accesses mean
f = Film Critic play percentage.
g = percentage running 3xGF
RP payoffs:
3GF ā 20.8f + 23.2(1-f) = 23.2 - 2.4f
3TFP ā 19.1f + 25.3(1-f) = 25.3 - 6.2f
Equating: 25.3 - 6.2f = 23.2 - 2.4f
2.1 = 3.8f
f=55%
So if you expect more than half of people to have Film Critic, 3x GFI might be better (note I ignored the influence cost).
I was going to do a similar analysis for when you should play Film Critic but noticed that FC dominates no FC. So I guess we are all playing FC and 3xGF now.
4 Likes
Thatās about in line with my expectations, and thereās no way 50%+ of the field is going to be running enough copies of Film Critic to have access to it every game. Itāll make the Shaper matchup a bit worse, though, which is definitely a problem.
That said, one thing that should probably be factored in here is that the Runner wonāt be able to steal NAPD 100% of the time. Theyāll be able to steal it the vast majority of the time ā probably 80%+, since people make a point of keeping 4c available vs RP ā but not 100%. That will dampen the effect of swapping it for GFI, although my suspicion is that itās still in GFIās favour.
I grabbed your code from Pastebin; Python isnāt my lingua franca, but itās pretty straightforward, so Iāll mess around with it and see what I come up with.
Okay, if I give NAPD a 90% chance to be stolen, I get:
3x TFP 3x Nisei 2x NAPD 1x Chronos: 24.2 accesses (8.9 sd)
3x TFP 3x Nisei 1x NAPD 1x GFI: 25.9 accesses (9.9 sd)
So slotting one GFI is still more resilient to accesses than NAPD + Chronos, although you take on additional variance risk (not surprising; Iād expect that to be true of lower agenda count builds in general). The margin is smaller ā 1.7 additional accesses vs > 2 additional accesses if NAPD gets stolen every time ā but itās still there.
Thanks for this code, BTW, itās very easy to adapt and itās super useful.
2 Likes
Question: can the deck find space for anti-FC tech? Snatch and Grab is at least situationally useful in other matchups as wellā¦ To me the situation seems analogous to the evolution of NEHFA in response to Clot.
Glad you found it useful! 
Good point about NAPD. 90% seems reasonable.
I thought about trying to figure out a percentage that they would have Film Critic but it seemed too hard so I just tried it with 100%, 90%, and 80%, it changed about how you would expect. I havenāt played with the card yet so I donāt know if itās good to hold your multiaccess until you have FC etc. (And whether itās right for Anarchs to play it at all).
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I donāt think FC is as bad for RP as Clot was for NEH ā @jrpās math shows that a ton of people need to be running FC for a hypothetical 0-influence GFI to be better than TFP. In other words, the meta would have to be very distorted for TFP to become more than slightly worse, and even a slightly worse TFP is still a powerhouse.
That means I donāt really want to tech for FC. Iād rather keep the extra economy and copies of Batty in Danās list. The real trick, I think, would be shoring up the Noise matchup somehow. People are talking about Cerebral Static, but I donāt think that does it ā that just alleviates Noiseās pressure from one server. He still pressures the other two centrals and every remote, and the viruses are still good even without the mill effects.
More to Noiseās ability than just pressure on archivesā¦ The disruption is worse than the threat to win on one big chives raid. If cerebral static aināt the answer to virus spam, there is no answer, and Whizz or Val can just as easily play it as Noiseā¦
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@pacer took RP to 2nd place in a Noise-heavy meta. Ask him. I know he had Snares and CVS. Not sure where he made room.
Wasnāt he running Static? I thought I saw it in a video from that regional he won.
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He also had PAD Campaign and a bunch of other nonstandard stuff. Iāll be curious to see if he publishes the list.
dbs (49 cards)
Jinteki: Replicating Perfection
ā Agenda (8 cards)
1 Fetal AI
1 Hades Fragment
3 Nisei MK II
3 The Future Perfect
ā Asset (13 cards)
2 Daily Business Show
3 Jackson Howard
3 PAD Campaign
2 Snare!
3 Sundew
ā ICE (17 cards)
1 Architect
1 Cortex Lock
2 Crick
3 Eli 1.0
1 Excalibur
1 Lotus Field
3 Pup
1 Susanoo-No-Mikoto
1 Swordsman
2 Tollbooth
1 Tsurugi
ā Operation (7 cards)
3 Celebrity Gift
3 Hedge Fund
1 Interns
ā Upgrade (4 cards)
2 Caprice Nisei
1 Corporate Troubleshooter
1 Cyberdex Virus Suite
6 Likes
Noise is a tough matchup, but itās also hard to play unless they have a decent amount of practice. If you can rush out a nisei and keep DBS firing you should be fine, just need to count where your agendas are that you put on the bottom. I ran 2 snares for the off chance that I had to let them run with medium and hopefully let them kill themselves. It worked in a couple of games. If you run it and score a Hades it makes the match up so much better. I cut static after Tulsa to make room for other stuff. It isnāt too impactful late game and the 2 credit cost hurts a bit. Snares are usually always impactful. Low number of agendas help as well. Itās one of RPās worst matchups in my opinion. ELP might be worth returning too just for the noise matchup.
4 Likes
How did the swordsman do? I was thinking about adding that to stop some of the faust actionā¦but with mimic/parasite being around seems like it would be a dead card most of the time.
Swordsman is just too weak against Kate and other Anarchs not running Faust. A good Faust player knows to protect their Faust (unless they already have recursion prepped) from unrezzed surprises. After all, itās eternity in hell if you donāt. #mephistopheles
3 Likes
Im interested in this too actually. Speaking as someone who has only ever really played noise, swordsman just never seemed that scary, even when crypsis was the breaker at stake. Parasite deals with it cleanly enough. If the worst happens and you do lose faust, its not the end of the world. Your gameplan shouldnt hinge on a single card cough aesops cough
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True on a lot of points but Swordsman with Corporate Troubleshooter will destroy Faust, Atman, Knight, etc. It wonāt stay dead but if it slows then down enough for you to score an agenda then itās worth it in my book. It killed 2-3 Faust on the day. I like it but it was more for the Eater Keyhole matchup than for Faust. That was just a side reason to run it.
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Eater Keyhole usually has a Femme in play pretty early.
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That would suck.